Replacement Migration für Österreich Modellrechnungen zur Bevölkerungsentwicklung

Autor(en)
Heinz Fassmann, Stephan Marik-Lebeck
Abstrakt

The concept of replacement migration was developed by the United Nation Population Division and introduced in 2000. The principal idea of this concept is based on a quite simple approach: How much net-immigration is necessary to reach certain goals concerning the size and structure of the future population? For example: How much net-immigration is needed to keep the population size constant or to stabilise the relation between the labour force and the retired people (dependency ratio)? For the first time the concept of replacement migration is applied to Austria, and concrete projections are presented in this article. The projections clearly demonstrate the need for further net-immigration, but also emphasise the necessity to introduce different political measures to keep the labour market functioning and to stabilise the age-related welfare system. If demographic change ought to be compensated only by migration, the sheer size of future migration flows would exceed any reasonable limit.

Organisation(en)
Institut für Geographie und Regionalforschung, Rektorat
Externe Organisation(en)
Universität Wien, Statistik Austria
Journal
Mitteilungen der Osterreichischen Geographischen Gesellschaft
Band
157
Seiten
71-90
Anzahl der Seiten
20
ISSN
0029-9138
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1553/moegg157s71
Publikationsdatum
2015
Peer-reviewed
Ja
ÖFOS 2012
507002 Bevölkerungsgeographie
Schlagwörter
ASJC Scopus Sachgebiete
Geography, Planning and Development, Earth-Surface Processes
Sustainable Development Goals
SDG 10 – Weniger Ungleichheiten
Link zum Portal
https://ucrisportal.univie.ac.at/de/publications/698efec2-dd8d-4bb2-a3a0-b7ce692e0402