Embracing uncertainty: The way forward in plant fossil phylogenetics

Author(s)
Mario Coiro
Abstract

Although molecular phylogenetics remains the most widely used method of inferring the evolutionary history of living groups, the last decade has seen a renewed interest in morphological phylogenetics, mostly driven by the promises that integrating the fossil record in phylogenetic trees offers to our understanding of macroevolutionary processes and dynamics and the possibility that the inclusion of fossil taxa could lead to more accurate phylogenetic hypotheses. The plant fossil record presents some challenges to its integration in a phylogenetic framework. Phylogenies including plant fossils often retrieve uncertain relationships with low support, or lack of resolution. This low support is due to the pervasiveness of morphological convergence among plant organs and the fragmentary nature of many plant fossils, and it is often perceived as a fundamental weakness reducing the utility of plant fossils in phylogenetics. Here I discuss the importance of uncertainty in morphological phylogenetics and how we can identify important information from different patterns and types of uncertainty. I also review a set of methodologies that can allow us to understand the causes underpinning uncertainty and how these practices can help us to further our knowledge of plant fossils. I also propose that a new visual language, including the use of networks instead of trees, represents an improvement on the old visualization based on consensus trees and more adequately serves phylogeneticists working with plant fossils. This set of methods and visualization tools represents an important way forward in a fundamental field for our understanding of the evolutionary history of plants.

Organisation(s)
Department of Palaeontology
External organisation(s)
Ronin Institute for Independent Scholarship, Montclair, NJ, 07043, USA.
Journal
American journal of botany
Volume
111
Pages
1-8
No. of pages
8
ISSN
0002-9122
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/ajb2.16282
Publication date
02-2024
Peer reviewed
Yes
Austrian Fields of Science 2012
106008 Botany, 105117 Palaeobotany, 106033 Phylogeny
Keywords
ASJC Scopus subject areas
Genetics, Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics, Plant Science
Sustainable Development Goals
SDG 15 - Life on Land
Portal url
https://ucrisportal.univie.ac.at/en/publications/2966b55d-57b8-4c70-b7f2-00d1dd867be7