Ecological baselines in the Eastern Mediterranean Sea shifted long before the availability of observational time series

Author(s)
Jan Steger, Cesare Bogi, Hadas Lubinevsky, Bella S. Galil, Martin Zuschin, Paolo G. Albano
Abstract

Native biodiversity loss and invasions by nonindigenous species (NIS) have massively altered ecosystems worldwide, but trajectories of taxonomic and functional reorganization remain poorly understood due to the scarcity of long-term data. Where ecological time series are available, their temporal coverage is often shorter than the history of anthropogenic changes, posing the risk of drawing misleading conclusions on systems' current states and future development. Focusing on the Eastern Mediterranean Sea, a region affected by massive biological invasions and the largest climate change-driven collapse of native marine biodiversity ever documented, we followed the taxonomic and functional evolution of an emerging “novel ecosystem”, using a unique dataset on shelled mollusks sampled in 2005–2022 on the Israeli shelf. To quantify the alteration of observed assemblages relative to historical times, we also analyzed decades- to centuries-old ecological baselines reconstructed from radiometrically dated death assemblages, time-averaged accumulations of shells on the seafloor that constitute natural archives of past community states. Against expectations, we found no major loss of native biodiversity in the past two decades, suggesting that its collapse had occurred even earlier than 2005. Instead, assemblage taxonomic and functional richness increased, reflecting the diversification of NIS whose trait structure was, and has remained, different from the native one. The comparison with the death assemblage, however, revealed that modern assemblages are taxonomically and functionally much impoverished compared to historical communities. This implies that NIS did not compensate for the functional loss of native taxa, and that even the most complete observational dataset available for the region represents a shifted baseline that does not reflect the actual magnitude of anthropogenic changes. While highlighting the great value of observational time series, our results call for the integration of multiple information sources on past ecosystem states to better understand patterns of biodiversity loss in the Anthropocene.

Organisation(s)
Department of Palaeontology
External organisation(s)
Gruppo Malacologico Livornese, National Institute of Oceanography Israel, Tel Aviv University, Stazione Zoologica Anton Dohrn
Journal
Global Change Biology
Volume
30
ISSN
1354-1013
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.17272
Publication date
04-2024
Peer reviewed
Yes
Austrian Fields of Science 2012
105118 Palaeontology
Keywords
ASJC Scopus subject areas
Global and Planetary Change, Environmental Chemistry, Ecology, General Environmental Science
Sustainable Development Goals
SDG 13 - Climate Action, SDG 14 - Life Below Water
Portal url
https://ucrisportal.univie.ac.at/en/publications/4fde4f3c-0abe-4c10-ad46-9f4995235250