A common methodology for risk assessment and mapping for south-east Europe

Author(s)
Maria Papathoma-Koehle, Catrin Promper, Roxana Bojariu, Roxana Cica, Andras Sik, Kinga Perge, Peter Laszlo, Erika Balazs Czikora, Alexandru Dumitrescu, Cosmin Turcus, Marius-Victor Birsan, Liliana Velea, Thomas Glade
Abstract

Assessment of risk considering both the probability of occurrence of a natural phenomenon and its consequences on the elements at risk is an essential step before the design of adequate risk reduction strategies in local, regional or national level. Within the EU-funded project SEERISK "Joint disaster management risk assessment and preparedness for the Danube macro-region'', a common methodology for risk assessment and mapping for climate change-related hazards has been developed. Vulnerability assessment is a large part of the risk assessment procedure, and it requires a considerable amount of detailed data. The methodology for risk assessment presented here is in line with the EC Guidelines for Risk Assessment and Mapping, and it provides alternatives in order to tackle the problem of varying data quality and quantity necessary for the analysis of hazard and vulnerability. In the present study, the methodology is adapted for heat waves and is applied in the city of Arad, Romania. Based on data regarding surface temperatures and emergency services interventions from past events during the daytime and the night-time, two hazard and two impact maps were developed, respectively, as well as a risk matrix for the night-and the daytime. A heat wave risk map was then developed that can be used by the emergency planners and services in order to prioritise their actions and focus on the hotspots as far as potential victims are concerned. The results of the case study apart from providing a tool for decision-makers and emergency planers also demonstrate the applicability of the common risk assessment methodology developed as being a profound theoretical basis for distinct risk-mapping exercises.

Organisation(s)
Department of Geography and Regional Research
External organisation(s)
University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Climate Res Grp, Natl Meteorol Adm, National Directorate General for Disaster Management of the Ministry of Interior, Emergency Situations Inspectorate "Vasile Goldiş" of Arad County
Journal
Natural Hazards
Volume
82
Pages
89-109
No. of pages
21
ISSN
0921-030X
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-016-2291-3
Publication date
03-2016
Peer reviewed
Yes
Austrian Fields of Science 2012
105404 Geomorphology
Keywords
ASJC Scopus subject areas
Water Science and Technology, Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous), Atmospheric Science
Sustainable Development Goals
SDG 11 - Sustainable Cities and Communities, SDG 13 - Climate Action
Portal url
https://ucrisportal.univie.ac.at/en/publications/a-common-methodology-for-risk-assessment-and-mapping-for-southeast-europe(c106f74a-10d8-450b-a429-b06e532db9dc).html