Influence of the meteorological input on the atmospheric transport modelling with FLEXPART of radionuclides from the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear accident

Author(s)
D. Arnold, Christian Maurer, G. Wotawa, R. Draxler, Katsuharu Saito, Petra Seibert
Abstract

In the present paper the role of precipitation as FLEXPART model input is investigated for one possible release scenario of the Fukushima Daiichi accident. Precipitation data from the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecast (ECMWF), the NOAA's National Center for Environmental Prediction (NCEP), the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) mesoscale analysis and a JMA radar-rain gauge precipitation analysis product were utilized. The accident of Fukushima in March 2011 and the following observations enable us to assess the impact of these precipitation products at least for this single case. As expected the differences in the statistical scores are visible but not large. Increasing the ECMWF resolution of all the fields from 0.5° to 0.2° rises the correlation from 0.71 to 0.80 and an overall rank from 3.38 to 3.44. Substituting ECMWF precipitation, while the rest of the variables remains unmodified, by the JMA mesoscale precipitation analysis and the JMA radar gauge precipitation data yield the best results on a regional scale, specially when a new and more robust wet deposition scheme is introduced. The best results are obtained with a combination of ECMWF 0.2° data with precipitation from JMA mesoscale analyses and the modified wet deposition with a correlation of 0.83 and an overall rank of 3.58. NCEP-based results with the same source term are generally poorer, giving correlations around 0.66, and comparatively large negative biases and an overall rank of 3.05 that worsens when regional precipitation data is introduced.

Organisation(s)
Department of Meteorology and Geophysics
External organisation(s)
James J. Howard Marine Sciences Laboratory, ZAMG, University of Tokyo
Journal
Journal of Environmental Radioactivity
Volume
139
Pages
212-225
No. of pages
14
ISSN
0265-931X
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvrad.2014.02.013
Publication date
01-2015
Peer reviewed
Yes
Austrian Fields of Science 2012
105206 Meteorology
Keywords
ASJC Scopus subject areas
Pollution, Waste Management and Disposal, Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis, Environmental Chemistry
Portal url
https://ucrisportal.univie.ac.at/en/publications/influence-of-the-meteorological-input-on-the-atmospheric-transport-modelling-with-flexpart-of-radionuclides-from-the-fukushima-daiichi-nuclear-accident(d0f88b7e-6083-46d5-8c85-f6a481e28346).html